UNNS Research Collective · Chambers LXV-A/B2/C2/D · February 2026

When Structure Survives:
Perturbation-Admissible Stability
in the UNNS Substrate

Three real earthquakes. Two structural axes. One foundational result: mechanism differentiation is not caused by magnitude — it is forced by directional incompatibility under invariance constraints. For the first time, the UNNS Substrate has a computable admissibility phase diagram.
Phase Theorem Empirically Confirmed 3-Earthquake Cross-Validation RNP Elevation Matching-Theoretic Bound Inversion Budget Derived
Protocol Status: LOCKED · preregistered station sets
Data: Kumamoto · Ridgecrest · El Mayor–Cucapah
Chambers: LXV-A, LXV-B2, LXV-C2, LXV-D (topology probe)

Abstract

We present the UNNS Substrate's first quantitative admissibility phase framework, emerging from a four-chamber seismic analysis suite (LXV) applied across three independent rupture systems. Prior to this work, the Rigid–Nonrigid Principle (RNP) was a structural separation criterion — a conceptual distinction between structures that descend and those that are representational artifacts. It is now a measurable phase theorem with computable descent conditions, boundary degeneracy bounds, and matching-theoretic inversion budgets.

The central empirical discovery: displacement fields admit a single global orientation unless invariance stability forces minimal decomposition. Kumamoto (k=2), Ridgecrest (k=1), and El Mayor (k=1) present both cases in clean contrast. Magnitude does not trigger splitting. Directional incompatibility under admissible operator nesting does. This is not rhetoric. It is a falsifiable, cross-validated pattern — and it is exactly what a substrate-level structural law looks like.

📄
UNNS Research Collective · Manuscript
Perturbation-Admissible Structural Stability in the UNNS Substrate
Full formal treatment of the admissibility phase framework: computable rigidity moduli (ℛ_mag, ℛ_geo), matching-theoretic inversion budget theorem (k_allowed = ν(V)), Phase-Boundary Descent Theorem (ℛ > (1,1)), and cross-event validation across Kumamoto, Ridgecrest, and El Mayor–Cucapah. Includes the El Mayor degeneracy surprise (|V|=2, ν(V)=1) and the complete tripartite admissibility phase structure.
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📐 Key Numerical Results

Before any narrative, the numbers speak:

Phase Invariants
4
ℛ_mag, ℛ_geo, 𝒟, ν(V) — all computable
Earthquakes Tested
3
Kumamoto · Ridgecrest · El Mayor
Kumamoto Topology
k = 2
Bifurcated · directionally incompatible
Ridgecrest Topology
k = 1
Globally coherent · no splitting
El Mayor Topology
k = 1
Unified field despite strong stations
El Mayor Surprise
ν(V)=1
|V|=2 but matching number = 1
Inversion Budget
k_min = ν(V)
Structurally derived, not heuristic
Smoothing Sweep
1→21
Windows: {1, 3, 7, 14, 21} days

🎯 The Central Question

In the UNNS framework, admissibility has long been conceptual: some structures descend under operator nesting; others collapse into representational artifacts. But where exactly is the boundary? When does a single global description suffice, and when is mechanism splitting forced by necessity?

Chamber LXV was designed to answer this on real seismic data — not synthetic grammars, not toy operators. Three independent earthquake rupture systems. GPS displacement fields. A deterministic preprocessing protocol. Preregistered station sets. And a single falsification criterion embedded before any run:

The Preregistered Criterion

A topology claim is only admissible if it survives the full smoothing sweep {1, 3, 7, 14, 21} days plus eligibility gates (SNR + amplitude thresholds). If k=2 is detected but collapses under any smoothing window, it is rejected as an artifact. Only filter-invariant structure counts.

This converts smoothing from a modeling choice into an adversarial invariance test.

Chamber LXV: Two Independent Structural Axes AXIS I — Ordering Stability Chambers LXV-A, B2, C2 Step magnitudes · Rank stability Direction stability · Monotonic ordering Kumamoto PASS coherent Ridgecrest PASS stable El Mayor FAIL (B2) non-monotonic "Is there stable structural ordering under smoothing?" AXIS II — Topology Probe Chamber LXV-D Orientation lobes (k) · ARI stability Centre drift · Spatial separability Kumamoto k = 2 bifurcated Ridgecrest k = 1 coherent El Mayor k = 1 unified "Can the field be represented by a single global orientation?"

🔬 The LXV Chamber Suite

Four chambers, three earthquake systems, two independent structural axes. Each chamber is a falsification instrument — engineered to reject the structural hypothesis if it can be broken, not to confirm it.

Chamber LXV-A · Kumamoto

Kumamoto 2016 M7.0

Complex bilateral rupture with strong directional incompatibility across fault segments. GPS displacement hierarchy extremely coherent. Strong displacement magnitude gradients preserved across all smoothing windows.

Rank Stability: FULL · Topology: k = 2 (forced bifurcation) · Sep. Score: PASS

PASS — Two-lobe structure confirmed
Chamber LXV-B2 · El Mayor–Cucapah

El Mayor–Cucapah 2010 M7.2

Strong southern stations (P497, P493). Direction-stable across smoothing — but strict monotonic ordering fails in B2. A boundary degeneracy case: |V| = 2 vulnerable gaps but matching number ν(V) = 1.

Rank Stability: PARTIAL · Topology: k = 1 · Surprise: ν(V) = 1 despite |V| = 2

BOUNDARY — Structured degeneracy at margin
Chamber LXV-C2 · Ridgecrest

Ridgecrest 2019 M7.1

Expanded station pack including high-amplitude stations P595, CCCC. Despite large step magnitudes, directional field remains globally coherent. A definitive demonstration that magnitude alone cannot trigger topology splitting.

Rank Stability: PERFECT · Topology: k = 1 · Key: Large ≠ differentiated

PASS — Single global orientation survives
Chamber LXV-D · Topology Probe

Cross-System Topology

Applied across all three event systems. Computes orientation lobe count (k), ARI stability across smoothing, spatial separability score, and eligibility robustness. The universal test: can the field be globally oriented?

Protocol: Preregistered · Gates: SNR + amplitude · ARI: high across all PASS cases

BIFURCATION AS NECESSITY — not feature
Cross-Event Structural Comparison: What Triggers k = 2? EVENT MAGNITUDE RANK STABILITY TOPOLOGY k SPLIT? Kumamoto 2016 M7.0 · complex bilateral M 7.0 STABLE k = 2 YES ★ Ridgecrest 2019 M7.1 · linear strike-slip M 7.1 PERFECT k = 1 NO El Mayor–Cucapah 2010 M7.2 · transpressional M 7.2 PARTIAL (B2) k = 1 NO ★ Only Kumamoto splits — despite Ridgecrest and El Mayor having equal or larger magnitudes Magnitude is not the trigger. Directional incompatibility under invariance constraints is.

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💡 The Central Discovery

Across three independent rupture systems with preregistered protocols, a single discriminating principle emerged with clarity that is rare in structural analysis:

Empirical Structural Law — Minimal Field Decomposition Principle
Displacement systems admit a single-field representation unless invariance stability forces a minimal decomposition. Mechanism differentiation (k ≥ 2) is not caused by large magnitude, not caused by instability, not caused by noise. It is caused by directional incompatibility under invariance constraints. Differentiation, when it occurs, is minimal (k = 2, not arbitrary) and stable across the full smoothing sweep.

This is precisely what a substrate-level law should look like: it defines when something happens and when it cannot. It presents both cases. And it explains the mechanism.

Why Kumamoto Splits and Ridgecrest Does Not

Kumamoto involves a complex bilateral rupture with directional competition between fault segments — two independently oriented displacement regimes that cannot be collapsed into a single global orientation without violating smoothing invariance gates. The substrate must differentiate.

Ridgecrest, despite slightly higher magnitude, involves a geometrically coherent linear strike-slip system. The displacement field remains directionally unified. Even with strong-amplitude stations (P595, CCCC) added in C2, the field holds. Large amplitude is not the trigger. Geometry is.

Admissibility Phase Diagram — What the LXV Suite Reveals RIGID DESCENT ℛ > (1,1) Full invariance k = 1 stable Ridgecrest El Mayor |V|=2, ν(V)=1 BOUNDARY ℛ ≈ (1,1) Bounded inv. k_max = ν(V) FORCED BIFURCATION Single global orient. fails k = 2 minimal decomp. Stable across smoothing ARI high · sep_score PASS Kumamoto k = 2 · forced ℛ ≤ (1,1) ℛ_geo (geometric rigidity) → ↑ ℛ_mag (magnitude rigidity) 𝒜 = min(ℛ_mag, ℛ_geo) — admissibility margin · no fragmentation observed within admissible envelope

The Deeper Pattern

Very few structural frameworks can cleanly show: when splitting happens, when it doesn't, and why. The LXV suite presents all three. It does so with preregistered stations, deterministic preprocessing, and adversarial smoothing — the full apparatus of invariance-certified structural analysis.

📏 What This Phase Gained — The New Invariants

Before this work, "rigid vs nonrigid" was a conceptual distinction at the level of RNP principles. Now it is measurable. Four new computable invariants convert phase talk into operator-computable quantities:

Before LXV

  • RNP was a structural separation principle (conceptual)
  • Inversion budget: "allow one adjacent swap at N=5" (heuristic)
  • Rank, topology, degeneracy, smoothing drift: separate phenomena
  • Stability was binary: admissible / inadmissible
  • Certification thresholds were tuned

After LXV

  • RNP has a measurable phase coordinate ℛ > (1,1)
  • Inversion budget: k_min = ν(V) — structurally necessary
  • All four phenomena are manifestations of bounded admissible deformation
  • Admissibility has interior, boundary, and fragmentation regime
  • Certification thresholds are derived, not tuned

The Four New Phase Invariants

ℛ_mag = min_k(Δ_k) / (2σ_P)  ℛ_geo = Θ_min / (2δ_P)  𝒟 = |V| / (N−1)  ν(V) = matching number
Invariant Measures What It Enables Status Before
ℛ_mag Magnitude rigidity modulus Computable descent condition: ℛ > (1,1) Not defined
ℛ_geo Geometric rigidity modulus Quantifies direction-space margin Not defined
𝒟 Degeneracy index |V|/(N-1) Predicts boundary regime size Heuristic only
ν(V) Matching number of gap graph Derives inversion budget k_allowed Empirical approximation
𝒜 = min(ℛ_mag, ℛ_geo) Admissibility margin Universal law-detection filter Entirely absent

The El Mayor Surprise — A Structural Insight

The El Mayor B2 case revealed something that was not anticipated. With two vulnerable gaps (|V| = 2), one might expect two independent inversion degrees of freedom. Instead, the matching number ν(V) = 1.

Degeneracy Is Constrained by Path Matching Geometry

Vulnerable gaps are not independent. Their combinatorial structure — specifically, the maximum matching in their path graph — constrains the allowed inversion count. This was not obvious beforehand. Degeneracy is not arbitrary chaos at the boundary: it is combinatorially gated. Fragmentation does not occur immediately when the admissibility margin is breached. It is delayed by matching geometry. That is a substrate-level insight.

🔷 The Phase-Boundary Theorem Inside RNP

The central formal result emerging from this analysis is a computable descent theorem — the first time RNP has a quantitative boundary rather than a conceptual one:

Phase-Boundary Theorem (Descent Condition)
If ℛ > (1,1), the structural signature descends under admissible operator nesting — rank, topology, and direction stability are all preserved.

If ℛ ≤ (1,1), rigidification fails by contradiction: no globally admissible nesting can maintain the single-field representation.

This is not empirical. It is a formal descent result inside admissibility geometry. RNP now has a computable phase coordinate.

The consequence for the UNNS program is significant: this converts RNP from a meta-principle to a phase theorem. The boundary is not inferred from data post-hoc — it is derivable from the operator structure and confirmed empirically across three independent earthquake systems.

RNP Phase Coordinate: From Principle to Theorem Before LXV RNP = structural separation principle "Some descriptions descend. Others are artifacts." No computable threshold · No margin · No metric Conceptual only Meta-principle LXV After LXV RNP = phase theorem with coordinate ℛ Descent condition: ℛ > (1,1) Matching bound: k_allowed = ν(V) Thresholds derived · Degeneracy predicted Phase theorem

Five Immediate Implications

(1) Certification thresholds can be derived, not tuned. (2) Structural signatures can be ranked by admissibility margin 𝒜. (3) Degeneracy can be predicted from baseline gap geometry. (4) Phase transitions can be located without model replacement. (5) Admissibility can serve as a universal law-detection filter.

🔗 Position Within UNNS — Cross-Branch Alignment

The LXV suite does not stand alone. It represents a convergence point for several prior UNNS branches, and it extends each of them in a distinct direction:

UNNS Branch Prior State What LXV Adds Relation
Axis I–II (Grammar / Utility) Studied creation of structure Studies persistence of structure Complementary
Axis III (Observability / Interface) Qualitative threshold 𝒜 = min(ℛ_mag, ℛ_geo): computable threshold Elevates
RNP (Rigid–Nonrigid Principle) Meta-principle, no coordinate Measurable coordinate ℛ > (1,1) Transforms
Phase P₃ (Curvature Bifurcation) Differentiation when single mechanism fails Same motif, now on real GNSS fields Strongest alignment
Chamber Work (LXV and before) Empirical, diagnostic, falsification-oriented Abstracted into envelope geometry + theory Maturation

Comparison to External Theoretical Traditions

The UNNS admissibility phase framework touches established traditions while differing in one critical respect: stability is defined relative to admissible operator nesting, not arbitrary perturbations. That distinction is what gives UNNS its unique character.

Structural Stability (Smale, Peixoto)

Classical structural stability studies persistence under arbitrary small perturbations. UNNS studies persistence under the admissible operator family — a constrained subset. The admissibility constraint is unique to UNNS. It is what makes the margin 𝒜 computable and meaningful.

Topological Data Analysis (Persistent Homology)

TDA studies topological features persisting across scale changes. LXV studies invariance-certified partition under resolution perturbation. Philosophically similar, but with an operator grammar constraint, a matching-theoretic degeneracy bound, and an RNP descent condition that TDA does not have. The LXV protocol is also more auditable and directly preregisterable.

Phase Transitions (Statistical Physics)

The tripartite structure — rigid interior, boundary degeneracy, fragmentation regime — looks like a phase diagram. But the phase coordinate here is structural margin, not a thermodynamic parameter. The transition condition is algebraic, not thermodynamic. The mechanism is operator geometry, not statistical fluctuation.

🌐 Why This Matters — The Architectural Shift

It is tempting to read the LXV suite as a seismological study. It is not. It is a demonstration that the UNNS Substrate framework — developed through synthetic operator grammars, spectral invariants, and recursive dynamics — produces falsifiable, cross-validated structural laws on real physical data.

UNNS Before LXV

UNNS diagnosed structural limits. It could identify when structures collapsed, when admissibility was breached, when recursive operators failed to produce utility. It was a diagnostic framework operating primarily on synthetic and calibration data.

UNNS After LXV

UNNS measures structural distance to limits. With computable margins, matching bounds, and a phase coordinate, it now predicts inversion counts, boundary degeneracy sizes, and topology flip conditions — on real-world displacement fields from independent earthquake systems.

The Methodological Shift Is Not Incremental — It Is Architectural

For the first time in the UNNS Substrate program, descent, degeneracy, geometry, operator nesting, and RNP are unified in one mathematical framework. With a computable admissibility phase diagram that covers the complete topology of structural stability — interior, boundary, and fragmentation regime — the framework has crossed from principle to theory.

The difference between principle and theory is the difference between "some structures survive admissible nesting" and "here is the exact margin by which they survive, and here is the exact combinatorial limit of degeneration at boundary."

The Substrate Is Not Binary — It Is Margin-Structured

The UNNS Substrate is not admissible/inadmissible. It has interior geometry, boundary geometry, and a fragmentation regime. Admissible operators behave like constrained contraction systems — they deform structure within a bounded envelope and induce structured degeneration near boundary. This generalises far beyond seismic displacement fields.

UNNS Is Now Predictive, Not Only Diagnostic

Previously, UNNS diagnosed collapse, instability, and emergence. Now it predicts: maximum inversion count (k_allowed = ν(V)), boundary degeneracy size (𝒟 from gap geometry), when topology will flip (ℛ crossing (1,1)), and when it structurally cannot flip. That is predictive structural mathematics.

📊 Smoothing as an Adversary — Invariance-Certified Results

A key methodological contribution of LXV is the treatment of smoothing as a falsification instrument rather than a modeling parameter. Standard practice in geophysics is to choose a smoothing window that produces clean results. LXV inverts this: a result is only valid if it survives all windows in the sweep.

Standard Approach

Pick a filter that looks good. Results are smoothing-sensitive. Parameter-tunable. Not preregistered.

LXV Approach

Filter-invariant structure only counts. Full sweep {1,3,7,15,21} days required. Only invariance-surviving claims advance.

Smoothing Sweep Invariance — k and ARI Stability Across Windows k=1 k=2 ARI=1 w=1 w=3 w=7 w=15 w=21 Kumamoto k Ridgecrest k ARI (pass) El Mayor k Only topology that holds across full sweep is admissible. Kumamoto k=2: fully stable. Ridgecrest k=1: fully stable. El Mayor: topology stable, ordering boundary.

The critical methodological point: the "direction weirdness" encountered in early El Mayor processing was traced to a CSV adapter path that introduced representation artifacts. The tenv3-native parsing path restored directional coherence. This is a concrete demonstration of what the RNP branch has always argued: representation artifacts exist; invariance filters detect them. The LXV suite supplied real empirical evidence for that abstract methodological claim.

📦 Resources — Data & Replication

All station data, topology profiles, and the interactive Chamber Array are available for independent verification. The entire pipeline is deterministic: same station set, same preprocessing protocol, same smoothing sweep — same results.

Paper & Interactive Chamber

📄 Full Paper (PDF)
Perturbation-Admissible Structural Stability in the UNNS Substrate
🔬 Chamber Array LXV (Interactive)
Full chamber suite with live analysis panels

Station Data Downloads

⬇ LXV-A Stations
Kumamoto 2016 · GPS displacement data
⬇ LXV-B Stations
El Mayor–Cucapah 2010 · GPS displacement data
⬇ LXV-C Stations
Ridgecrest 2019 · GPS displacement data
⬇ LXV-D Profile A
Topology probe · Kumamoto full profile
⬇ LXV-D Profile B
Topology probe · Ridgecrest full profile
⬇ LXV-D Profile C
Topology probe · El Mayor–Cucapah full profile

References & Prior Art

  • Full Paper: Perturbation-Admissible Structural Stability in the UNNS Substrate (PDF)
    Complete formal treatment including phase invariants, descent theorem, matching-theoretic inversion budget, and full El Mayor analysis.
  • Chamber Array LXV (Interactive): chamber_array_lxv.html
    Live interactive chamber suite. All four chambers (A, B2, C2, D) with full panel outputs, station eligibility maps, and smoothing-sweep stability visualisations.
  • Prior UNNS Arc — Curvature Sign Preservation (LXI–LXIV): chamber_array_lxi_lxii_lxiii_lxiv_analysis.html
    The preceding arc established sign-preservation of the curvature scalar under admissible recursion across 7,400+ records. LXV extends the admissibility framework from operator space into real seismic displacement fields.
  • UNNS Substrate — Phase P₃ (Curvature-Responsive Bifurcation): chamber_lii_v1_3_2_CURV_RESP_ENCODING_FIXED
    The Phase P₃ motif — differentiation appears when a single mechanism cannot satisfy constraints — is the direct theoretical precedent for the LXV empirical finding. LXV is the first real-world instantiation of P₃ bifurcation logic.
  • Rigid–Nonrigid Principle (RNP): The Rigid-Nonrigid Transition Principle
    The foundational UNNS structural separation principle that LXV elevates from meta-principle to computable phase theorem via the descent condition ℛ > (1,1).
UNNS Research Collective · Chamber Suite LXV (A, B2, C2, D) · February 2026 · Protocol: LOCKED · Stations: preregistered · 3 earthquake systems · Smoothing sweep {1,3,7,15,21} · Admissibility phase framework: first computable UNNS phase diagram · All station data available for independent verification